Author Topic: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News  (Read 16177 times)

Offline zuoom

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[News] PetroChina's Value Tops $1 Trillion, Surpassing Exxon (Update6)
« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2007, 12:22:37 AM »
By Ying Lou

Quote
Nov. 5 (Bloomberg) -- PetroChina Co. almost tripled on its first day of trading in Shanghai, becoming the world's first company to be valued at $1 trillion, more than Exxon Mobil Corp. and General Electric Co. combined.

PetroChina shares rose to 43.96 yuan from the sale price of 16.7 yuan, giving the state-owned oil producer a greater market value than the entire Russian stock market.

The rally makes PetroChina shares four times more expensive than those of Exxon, even though China's biggest oil producer has a quarter of the revenue. China's stock market was valued at less than $1.1 trillion before tripling this year and giving the communist nation four of the world's 10 biggest companies, even after today's 5 percent tumble in Hong Kong stocks.

PetroChina's valuation is ``an indication of China coming of age and also of its stock market bubble,'' said Hugh Young, who oversees $50 billion at Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Ltd. in Singapore.

The oil producer's Shanghai listing pushes China's stock market beyond the U.K. as the world's third-largest. PetroChina trades at 55 times earnings, four times Exxon's ratio of 13 times earnings and near the 58 times for Google Inc., the world's most-used Internet search engine.

In Hong Kong, PetroChina fell 8.2 percent to HK$18. Exxon shares rose 0.7 percent to $87.93, valuing the company at $488 billion on the New York Stock Exchange.

`Sense of Responsibility'

``I feel very excited today and also feel a very strong sense of responsibility,'' Chairman Jiang Jiemin said at the Shanghai Stock Exchange. ``This is PetroChina returning to our investors and society.''

Jiang struck a gong as the market opened at 9:30 a.m., then toasted the start of trading with a glass of red wine.

China's largest oil and gas producer had 20.5 billion barrels of oil and gas reserves in 2006, compared with 22.1 billion for Irving, Texas-based Exxon, data compiled by Bloomberg show. PetroChina has been adding new reserves at an average annual rate of 5 percent for the past three years, a faster pace than Exxon, Royal Dutch Shell Plc and BP Plc, the world's largest oil companies by sales.

The share sale, the world's biggest this year, surpassed the 66.6 billion yuan raised by China Shenhua Energy Co. in September. PetroChina raised 66.8 billion yuan selling 4 billion shares last week as investors applied for more than 3.3 trillion yuan of stock, almost 50 times the amount PetroChina sold.

Record Oil

Those investors were until now prevented from directly buying PetroChina stock, missing out on a 15-fold surge as economic growth turned the nation into the largest oil consumer after the U.S. and as crude prices reached a record $96.24 a barrel in New York.

The CSI 300 Index of shares listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges has increased about 170 percent this year as mainland Chinese investors seek returns on $2.3 trillion of savings, raising investor concerns that the market is too expensive.

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. sold its stake in PetroChina this year, reaping an eightfold gain that contributed to a 64 percent increase in third-quarter profit for the Omaha, Nebraska-based company. Berkshire had 2.34 billion shares as of the end of 2006, the largest holding after state-owned China National Petroleum Corp.

Buffett said on Oct. 24 that Chinese share prices have risen too fast.

`Carried Away'

``It's easy to be carried away in the stock market when things are going very well,'' he said in the northern Chinese city of Dalian. ``We at Berkshire never buy stocks when we see prices soaring.''

Gains in PetroChina's shares in Shanghai may have more to do with Chinese investors seeking better returns than the outlook for the company's exploration and production operations, or its refining business, known as downstream, said Larry Grace, an oil analyst at Kim Eng Securities Co. in Hong Kong.

``Production is static with limited upside for the next three to four years,'' Grace said. ``As for the downstream, the price controls and overall regulatory trend limit the company's earnings.''

China controls fuel prices to shield consumers in the world's most-populous nation from accelerating inflation. The policy limits the ability of PetroChina and China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. to pass on the burden of higher crude oil costs.

The other Chinese companies that rank among the world's 10 largest by market value are China Petroleum, known as Sinopec, China Mobile Ltd., Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. and China Construction Bank Corp.

``A-share prices don't reflect global benchmarks of value,'' said Lorraine Tan, head of equity research at Standard & Poor's Investment Services in Singapore. ``There should be other measures of a company's position, including revenue and profitability. Market cap is not necessarily accurate.''

PetroChina's share surge means it beat by years a Russian pledge to create the world's largest company.

OAO Gazprom, Russia's natural gas export monopoly, would become the world's largest company by market value and top $1 trillion in ``seven to 10 years,'' Alexander Medvedev, the company's deputy chief executive officer, said in April. Gazprom's market valuation today is $296 billion.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ying Lou in Shanghai at ylou1@bloomberg.net .
Last Updated: November 5, 2007 14:39 EST
via : bloomberg.com

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[News] Oil Touches $100 a Barrel on Supply Concern
« Reply #16 on: January 03, 2008, 12:47:47 AM »
By Nesa Subrahmaniyan

Quote
Jan. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose to $100 a barrel for the first time in New York, reflecting an industry struggling to find deposits at a time of record demand.

Oil touched $100 today, extending last year's 57 percent rally, boosted by speculation U.S. stockpiles dropped to a three- year low last week. Unrest in Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, also spurred prices.

Three-figure prices may bring energy costs near the tipping point that will cause global economic growth to falter. China has more than doubled oil use since New York crude dropped to this century's low of $16.70 a barrel on Nov. 19, 2001. That's soaked up most of the world's spare production capacity amid supply cuts in Nigeria, Iraq and Venezuela.

Crude oil for February delivery rose $4.02, or 4.2 percent, to $100 a barrel at 12:10 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest since trading began in 1983.

Prices on Oct. 15 passed the previous all-time inflation- adjusted record. Measured in today's dollars, prices in 1981 rose as high as $84.73 after a decade of Middle East instability including the Arab-Israeli war in 1973, the Iranian revolution in 1979 and the Iran-Iraq war that began in 1980.

Oil embargoes and higher prices helped trigger recessions in developed countries, prompting efficiency drives that sent prices lower for two decades to as little as $10.35 a barrel on Dec. 21, 1998.

via : http://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/showthread.php?t=1829649
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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News
« Reply #17 on: January 03, 2008, 12:48:34 AM »




via : wiki power

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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News
« Reply #18 on: January 03, 2008, 12:55:23 AM »
via email.

Google News Alert for: crude oil

Oil up on fresh violence in Nigeria, fears US crude stocks are ...
CNNMoney.com - USA
Elsewhere, a weekly report due tomorrow, is anticipated to show crude oil inventories in the world's top consumer fell for the seventh week in a row. ...
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Crude price drove oil stocks in '07
StarPhoenix - Saskatoon,Saskatchewan,Canada
Crude oil for February delivery fell two cents to $95.98 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Monday. Natural gas won back some ground in 2007, ...
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Surging crude cost expected to hit gas bills
Scotsman - United Kingdom
A SURGE in the cost of crude oil is expected to result in big increases on the average gas bill. Petroleum industry experts say crude oil prices are likely ...
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Crude oil above $96 in New Year trade
Hindu Business Line - Chennai,India
MUMBAI: Crude oil began the New Year trading higher above $96 a barrel on Wednesday as geopolitical tensions weighed on the market. ...
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Soy oil futures firm on global cues
Commodity Online - Kochi,Kerala,India
Prices of vegetable oils often rise in tandem with the spike in crude oil, boosted by their appeal as additives to make biodiesel. The most active crude ...
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Oil prices rise above US$96 amid expectations of decline in US ...
International Herald Tribune - France
At 293.6 million barrels, US crude oil inventories now stand at their lowest level since January 2005, and are in the lower half of the average range for ...
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Experts expect oil, gasoline prices soon will reach ‘tipping points’
Kansas City Star - MO,USA
By KRISTEN HAYS The price of a barrel of light, sweet crude oil was $95.98 at the end of 2007, although it reached as high as $98.18 in November. ...
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Oil prices firm on supply worries
Commodity Online - Kochi,Kerala,India
In the morning session trade, crude oil prices were bolstered by expectations US government data would show crude stocks falling for the seventh consecutive ...
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02-01-2008: CPO prices to remain firm this year
The Edge Daily - Malaysia
CPO futures rose to a historic high of RM3,097 per tonne on Dec 27, spurred by the spike in crude oil prices to US$97 a barrel mark on geopolitical concerns ...
See all stories on this topic

Oil Rises Above $96 on Storm, Concern US Supplies May Decline
Bloomberg - USA
2 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose above $96 a barrel in New York on speculation US stockpiles dropped for a seventh week and as a storm dropped snow in the ...
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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News
« Reply #19 on: January 03, 2008, 04:08:07 AM »
cum on... where's the 100 bucks mark that needs to be crossed... :D

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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News
« Reply #20 on: January 03, 2008, 05:56:16 AM »
it did went to the $100 mark.

some trader bought the minimum 1 lot at $100.

but general market sentiment is that it will hover around $80-100 mark.
yes, it might might hit n cross 100 when certain conditions are met.

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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News - lots on "blips"
« Reply #21 on: January 04, 2008, 03:56:20 AM »
via: http://sg.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080103/tts-commodities-metals-forex-gold-price-c1b2fc3.html

AFP - Friday, January 4LONDON (AFP) - - Gold struck a new all-time peak of almost 868 dollars on Thursday as the precious metal benefited from its safe-haven status amid record high oil, a struggling dollar and Pakistan tensions.

The price of gold reached a historic 867.90 dollars an ounce on the London Bullion Market. It later slipped slightly to stand at 866.90 dollars.

"The main reason for the increase was that the oil prices have breached through the 100-dollar mark. This and a weakening dollar, has driven the gold prices higher," said Gary Yue, a gold dealer at Delta Asia Financial Group.

"Investors are worried about the oil prices and the weak dollar. When the situation is unstable, they invest their money elsewhere and this has boosted the buying interest in gold," he said.

The precious metal, also being supported by increased jewellery purchases in emerging economic powerhouses China and India, had first smashed its 28 year-old record of 850 dollars an ounce on Wednesday.

According to analysts, current price movements were being slightly exaggerated by the lightness of holiday trade, which meant large transactions could influence the market more than usual.

"With 850 dollars cleared, gold could quite easily find further upside momentum as the background picture of geo-political tensions and unstable financial markets attracts safe-haven seeking investors," said James Moore of TheBullionDesk.com.

Political unrest in Pakistan following last week's assassination of the country's opposition leader Benazir Bhutto has led to fresh interest in gold because the precious metal is regarded as a haven in troubled times.

Higher oil prices also encourage the buying of gold. The precious metal is seen as a defence against inflation, which is being driven in many countries by the surging cost of crude oil.

Benchmark oil prices hit 100 dollars in New York on Wednesday for the first time owing to tight supplies of crude amid solid demand for the commodity.

Gold prices, which last year rose by 30 percent, were also winning support from the weakness of the US currency, which encourages demand for dollar-priced commodities because it makes them cheaper for buyers using stronger currencies.

"As the dollar outlook remains weak and with further (US) interest rate cuts in store, gold could be poised to challenge the psychological 900 dollar level and subsequently perhaps the 1,000 dollar mark," said Standard Bank analyst Teo Kah Oon.

The yellow metal had spiked to its record of 850 dollars an ounce in 1980 as investors rushed to buy gold because of then high inflation sparked by soaring oil prices amid the Iranian revolution.

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Oil hits US$100 level and its effects
« Reply #22 on: January 04, 2008, 04:04:26 AM »
Jan 4, 2008
Oil hits US$100 level
Fears of lower US stockpiles and concerns over supplies spark price jump
By Nicholas Fang
CRUDE oil kicked off the new year by touching US$100 (S$144) a barrel for the first time.
The historic event was widely anticipated by economists and traders but still struck a raw nerve among global leaders, policy-makers and the man in the street.

A witches' brew of surging demand, fears of supply disruptions and speculative trading provided the impetus that saw the 100-buck-a-barrel level finally breached.

Violence in Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, was the most visible trigger. At least 12 people were killed over the New Year in the oil centre of Port Harcourt.

There was also fear that data expected late last night would show that United States energy stockpiles had fallen again.

US reserves, which often function as a safety net in the oil industry, fell by over three million barrels to 293.6 million barrels two weeks ago, the sixth consecutive weekly decline.

Booming economic expansion in China and India has added to surging global demand for oil.

Hedge funds and other traders were also behind the price surge with many piling into crude as well as other commodities such as gold, platinum and palm oil futures to shield themselves against inflation and a weak US dollar.

These three commodities rose to record highs yesterday

Reaction to the landmark price reached on the New York Mercantile Exchange after midnight on Wednesday Singapore time was varied.

The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries said it will not ease price pressure by ramping up supply.

And US President George W. Bush said he would not tap into the country's strategic reserves to ease prices as the stockpile was reserved for 'emergencies'.

But Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen yesterday banned the use of state vehicles for anything other than official business to save petrol.

Economists in Singapore did not believe the latest price hike would send the global economy into a tailspin.

Citigroup's Chua Hak Bin said: 'It's just a number, albeit a big one. The key question is, will it keep going up at this pace.

'In Singapore, it comes at an uncomfortable time with inflation already at 25-year highs and hikes in public transport fares and electricity.'

OCBC's Ms Selena Ling agreed: 'Pump prices went past the $2-mark for all but one grade of petrol last month.'

She said oil could hit US$110 in the near term but ease after six to 12 months. 'If recent signs are correct and the global economy slows down, it is unlikely that the demand driving high oil prices will be sustained,' she said.

United Overseas Bank's head of economics and treasury research, Mr Jimmy Koh, felt the impact will be more psychological than economical: 'Are we seeing people pushing their cars on the road? No.'

But businessmen with operations closely linked to the oil industry are already feeling the impact. Mr Steven Lee, 56, who owns charter bus services company Westpoint Transit, said overall costs had risen 20 per cent in the past two years due to dearer diesel.

'The prices we charge our customers have gone up by 15 to 20 per cent. We haven't experienced a significant drop-off in customers but we have lost maybe 5 per cent of our clientele in that period.'

'I hope the price does not go up any higher. There's only so many times we can go knocking on customers' doors to say we are raising prices.'

via : http://forums.hardwarezone.com.sg/showthread.php?t=1830701

Going up?
Petrol and diesel

Jet fuel, which is likely to translate to pricier air fares

Plastics in consumer items

Fertilisers and pesticides which in turn could lead to costlier vegetables and fruits

Toiletries and medicines

Lubricants like motor oils

Detergents and adhesives

Offline zuoom

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via Newsweek : Why We Can’t Stop $100 Oil
« Reply #23 on: January 07, 2008, 01:26:37 AM »
by Daniel Gross

It's becoming evident that the rising price of oil has little relationship to anything Americans do, or don't do.

Jan 14, 2008 Issue
 
Related:
    * Asia
    * OPEC
    * China

When the price of a barrel of oil briefly hit $100 in trading last Wednesday morning, it was basically a nonevent. After adjusting for inflation, $100 per barrel in 2008 still isn't a record. And really, what's the difference between $99 and $100? (If you answered $1, come to the front of the class.)

It functioned more as a Rorschach test. For presidential candidate John Edwards, it was "just another example of how corporate greed is squeezing the middle class." American Petroleum Institute spokesperson Karen Matusic noted that oil's hitting the century mark should spur efforts to "explore for more oil and natural gas. After all, 80 percent of our potential domestic resources are cut off from drilling." For Renewable Fuels Association president Bob Dinneen, the event highlighted (wait for it!) the importance of recently passed legislation that subsidizes ethanol production. And for Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, it was an occasion to marvel at just how well the U.S. economy has held up in the face of such challenges. "When you look at the structural changes in our economy, we're using oil more efficiently and it has a smaller overall impact on our growth," he told NEWSWEEK.

A hundred factors—production disruptions in Nigeria, speculators in Singapore, the pathetic dollar—helped push the price of a barrel of oil to $100 (or roughly what lunch at McDonald's in London costs, thanks to said pathetic dollar). But it's safe to say that oil's breaching three figures last week was explicitly not due to the venality of ExxonMobil's bosses, or to our inexplicable hesitancy to drill for methane in the Grand Canyon, or to the lack of subsidies for schemes to process bacon fat into diesel. In fact, it's becoming evident that it's not about anything Americans do, or don't do.

As we are endlessly reminded, Americans, about 4.5 percent of humanity, account for about 25 percent of the world's oil consumption. Historically, the consumption habits of these power users have had a huge effect on the commodity's global price. But we matter less and less each year, macroeconomically speaking. Oil nicked $100 the same day the Institute for Supply Management reported that the manufacturing sector—you know, that energy-intensive sector that burns up lots of oil—contracted in December. In theory, it should be hard for the price of oil to rise at a time when the world's economic engine is idling and plotting a shift into reverse. But that's exactly what happened in 2007.

Prices in the market are determined by supply and demand. Even with demand in the United States stagnating, global demand for oil is booming. "A big part of the oil story has to do with demand globally," says Henry Paulson. "There is strong growth in many countries around the world." Indeed, according to the World Bank, 104 countries grew at more than 5 percent in 2006—a modern record—and most of them powered through 2007 at a similar pace. Americans may have reacted to higher oil prices by buying smaller cars, but businesses and consumers in Asia, South America and Africa haven't been deterred in gobbling up oil. In 2007, according to OPEC, world demand for crude oil rose by 1.4 percent, or 1.2 million barrels per day. But the United States and its fellow industrialized firms in Asia and Europe—the 30 nations that make up the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)—actually reduced consumption. According to OPEC, non-OECD countries accounted for all of 2007's oil-demand growth.

Obviously, China has a lot do with it. Its consumption of crude oil rose from 5.6 million barrels per day in 2003 to 7.6 million in 2007. Thanks in part to China's growth, Asia in 2004 surpassed the United States as the largest consumer of oil in the world, according to Daniel Yergin, chairman of energy analyst Cambridge Energy Research Associates.



But demand is booming elsewhere, especially in the Middle East. The nations that have grown rich on petrodollars aren't just spending money on champagne and lavish hotels on the French Riviera. They're plowing cash into diversifying economies, building things that use lots of energy—condominium towers in Dubai, an indoor ski resort in Bahrain and petrochemical plants in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. In the past, OPEC could calm oil markets by increasing supply. But OPEC members are now eating a lot more of what they grow. Between 1997 and 2007, notes Yergin, six Mideast OPEC members—Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates—boosted production by 2.5 million barrels per day. But they increased consumption by 1.9 million barrels per day. In effect, three quarters of the production increase stayed in the region.

The trends that boosted demand in 2007 are still intact. OPEC projects that in 2008, world oil demand for crude will rise by 1.3 million barrels per day, but that non-OECD countries will account for 1.1 million barrels per day, or 80 percent of the total. China alone is expected to boost consumption by 400,000 barrels per day. Lehman Brothers analysts project that this year OPEC countries will increase their use of oil by 350,000 barrels per day, or 4 percent.

It's beyond our control. Using less gas, running factories at fewer shifts and redoubling efforts to conserve and find alternatives may save us some money. But it won't result in lower prices at the pump.

© 2008 Newsweek, Inc.


via : http://www.newsweek.com/id/84530

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[Focus] Crude Oil Market n News - Energy execs debate whether oil crisis looms
« Reply #24 on: February 16, 2008, 03:11:55 AM »
By Michael Erman Reuters - Friday, February 15 04:28 pm

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/rtrs/20080215/tbs-uk-cera-energy-supply-9c49c44.html

HOUSTON (Reuters) - Are the lacklustre production and reserve replacement rates reported by the largest oil companies precursors to a looming oil crisis?

The largest oil companies have had increased difficulty meeting a range of challenges to increase their production, including mature oil fields with declining production rates and restrictive regimes that have tightened their hold on their resources as commodity prices have.

The issue was much debated by oil executives and industry watchers at the CERA energy conference this week.

"An oil crisis is coming in the next 10 years," said John Hess, chief executive of Hess Corp . He said that he believes oil producing companies and countries are not investing enough to ensure sufficient production capacity to meet growing demand.

"While recent discoveries ... are promising, we need to find a new production basin like the Alaska North Slope or Angola every year to ensure that we can grow our oil resource base to support increases in production for future generations. We stopped making such meaningful discoveries during the late 1990s," he said.

As their coffers have swelled in recent years from record oil prices, many oil companies have spent more on dividends and share repurchases than on capital projects.

Earlier this year, Chevron and Royal Dutch Shell indicated that their replacement levels of produced oil and gas for 2007 would disappoint investors, and even Exxon's first-quarter production was lighter than many analysts had hoped.

"There is an urgent need to strengthen the flow of capital into upstream oil," said Nobuo Tanaka, executive director of the International Energy Agency. "We remain comfortable with the adequacy of the world's hydrocarbon reserves, but we are anxious to mitigate the above ground risks that complicate today's markets."

PEAK APPROACHING?

Ironically, StatoilHydro CEO Helge Lund said the shortage of industry spending is due in part to the high oil prices that have brought in that windfall to the companies.

Oil companies could be hesitant to spend money to pick up new exploration and production projects because they will have to pay for these assets based on an oil price that they believe is inflated.

"It is a question of whether you can make efficient investment decisions and be at the right cost level in the current environment," he said.

Cambridge Energy Research Associates, the conference's host organization, believes that adequate oil supply should be available in the near term.

According to a study released last month, CERA estimates that the global decline rate of fields currently in production is 4.5 percent -- a lower number than previously believed. The group says this means that the oil supply won't hit a peak and start to contract in the short term.

Even those who don't see a peak approaching still expect challenges.

"The supply of easy oil will not keep up," said Linda Cook, executive director of gas and power at Royal Dutch Shell, noting that unconventional resources like oil sands and oil shale, as well as liquefied natural gas, will have to pick up the slack.

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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News
« Reply #25 on: February 18, 2008, 06:36:24 AM »
World Oil Forecasts Including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE - Update Feb 2008

Posted by ace on February 17, 2008 - 10:00am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: aramco, burgan, demand, ghawar, kuwait, oil, oil production forecast, opec, original, peak oil, production, saudi arabia, supply, united arab emirates, zakum (list all tags)

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Executive Summary

   1. World total liquids production (Fig 1) remains on a peak plateau since 2006 and is forecast to fall off this peak plateau in 2009. Increasing numbers of oil experts are forecasting impending peak production plateaus. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the current peak production of 87.2 mbd occurred on January 2008. As long as demand continues increasing then prices will continue increasing.
   2. Forecast world crude oil and lease condensate (C&C) production retains its 2005 peak (Fig 2). The forecast to 2100 shows declining C&C production, using a bottom up forecast to 2012 (Fig 3). The forecast to 2012 shows a slight decline to 2009, followed by a 3%/yr decline rate to 2012.
   3. World oil discovery rates peaked in 1965 (Fig 4) and production has exceeded discovery for every year since the mid 1980s. Discoverable reserves in giant fields also peaked during the mid 1960s (Fig 5). The time lag between world peak discovery in 1965 and world peak production in 2005 of 40 years is similar to the time lag of 42 years for the USA Lower 48 (Fig 6).
   4. World C&C year on year production changes to October 2007 and November 2007 (Figs 7 and 8) show significant declines for Mexico, North Sea and Saudi Arabia and significant increases for Russia, Azerbaijan and Angola. As Russia is likely to be on a production plateau and Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE have probably passed peak production, the world C&C production will continue to decline slowly.
   5. Saudi Arabia retains its 2005 C&C peak (Fig 10), which is the same as the peak year for world C&C (Fig 2). Saudi Arabia C&C production has dropped to 9.0 mbd which is 0.6 mbd less than its peak in 2005. It is now almost a certainty that Saudi Arabia passed peak C&C production of 9.6 mbd in 2005 (Figs 9 and 10).
   6. Kuwait retains its 2006 minor C&C peak (Fig 12). Kuwait C&C production has now dropped to 2.5 mbd which is less than its peak in 2006. There is a strong likelihood that Kuwait has passed its minor 2006 peak (Figs 11 and 12). Kuwait’s major peak was 3.3 mbd in 1972.
   7. UAE retains its 2006 C&C peak (Fig 14). UAE C&C production has now dropped to 2.6 mbd, adjusted for maintenance, which is just less than its peak in 2006. There is a reasonable likelihood that UAE passed its 2006 peak (Figs 13 and 14).
   8. World natural gas plant liquids is forecast to increase due mainly to new OPEC projects (Fig 15). World ethanol and XTL production is forecast to almost double by 2012 (Fig 16). World processing gains are forecast to decline slowly to 2012 (Fig 17).

Major Changes from the Previous Update Oct 2007

The major changes from the previous update are the inclusion of additional forecast production from the projects listed at Wikipedia Oil Megaprojects and the increase in OPEC production quota by 0.5 mbd starting 1 Nov 2007. There are also a few paragraphs added in section 1 below describing the increased consensus about peak oil by more oil industry experts.

via : http://forums.delphiforums.com/n/mb/display.asp?webtag=sammyboymod&msg=167158.1

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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News - above 100 dollars
« Reply #26 on: February 22, 2008, 01:11:40 AM »


Quote
Wednesday, February 20, 2008: NYMEX West Texas Intermediate for March delivery closed up $0.73 at  $100.74 per barrel.
via : http://www.wtrg.com/daily/crudeoilprice.html

============================================

Oil prices hit record 101.27 dollars

Quote
AFP - Thursday, February 21

NEW YORK (AFP) - - New York oil prices struck a record 101.27 dollars a barrel Wednesday amid renewed global supply jitters, analysts said.
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New York's main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in March, subsequently receded, but closed up 73 cents at an all-time high of 100.74 dollars.

The latest price spike burst Tuesday's record price of 100.10 dollars and record close at 100.01 dollars.

In London, Brent North Sea crude for April delivery settled 14 cents lower at 98.42 dollars, after striking a record 98.70 dollars Tuesday.

Prices have soared amid growing speculation that OPEC, which supplies about 40 percent of the world's oil, may cut output at its March 5 meeting in Vienna, anticipating a fall in demand at the end of the northern hemisphere winter and a US economic slowdown, analysts said.

"Supply worries and comments by some OPEC members that the group might not raise output at their March meeting provided the catalyst for the sharp rally," said Barclays Capital analyst Kevin Norrish.

Prior to Wednesday's new record, prices had traded in negative territory as many dealers opted to take profits following a rally.

"Oil gained sharply (on Tuesday) supported by a combination of factors, including persistent supply concerns," said Sucden analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov.

"In addition to continuing worries over the ongoing row between ExxonMobil and Venezuela, with the Latin American exporter threatening to cut more supplies to the US, investors are receiving more comments from various OPEC members indicating no change or even a possible cut to the group's supplies at its meeting in early March," he said.

Libya's oil chief Shukri Ghanem said that OPEC will wait to see if oil prices hold around record highs of 100 dollars before making any decision on whether to cut output.

Ghanem told AFP that with prices at current levels, OPEC wanted to see if 100 dollars per barrel prove to be the ceiling or if they would begin to fall back.

Ghanem, chairman of Libya's National Oil Corporation, said that by then, OPEC members would have more information on the global economic situation.

He said current price levels, "which have become very high," were at least as much due to financial speculation in the market as to geopolitical concerns.

Earlier this month OPEC left its official daily output ceiling at 29.67 million barrels of oil, resisting calls from US President George W. Bush to increase supplies to help bring down prices.

The price of New York crude had struck a then-record high of 100.09 dollars at the start of January.

Another major factor currently supporting prices was the ongoing row between oil-rich Venezuela and US energy giant ExxonMobil, the world's biggest oil company.

ExxonMobil says it has won court orders in New York, London, the Netherlands and the Netherlands Antilles freezing some 12 billion dollars of assets in those jurisdictions from Venezuela's state-owned oil producer PDVSA.

The legal battle relates to ExxonMobil's bid to secure compensation after Venezuela's government nationalized key oil fields in the Orinoco basin, including two ExxonMobil operations.

Traders are also on alert over possible further unrest in Nigeria, Africa's biggest crude producer, dealers said.

via : http://sg.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080221/tts-commodities-energy-oil-price-c1b2fc3.html

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By Christian Schmollinger and Trisha Huang

Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil traded near a record in New York as a weakening dollar spurred investors to buy commodities priced in the U.S. currency.

Brent crude oil, the benchmark for two-thirds of world supply, rose to a record $100 a barrel in London as the dollar fell to an all-time low against the euro. New York futures were near yesterday's all-time high of $101.43. The UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index increased to the highest ever, on gains for wheat, sugar, copper, cotton and cocoa.

``The surge in oil futures is a result of investors moving money away from financial markets and into commodities,'' said Victor Shum, senior principal at Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore. ``Concerns over inflation have superseded fears of a U.S. recession and commodities now seem to be the best hedge against inflation.''

Crude oil for April delivery rose as much as 47 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $101.35 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was trading at $101.14 at 2:34 p.m. in Singapore. Yesterday, crude futures settled at $100.88 a barrel, a gain of $1.65, or 1.7 percent. It was the highest close since trading began in 1983.

The dollar weakened to $1.5047 per euro, the lowest since the European single currency was introduced in 1999, before trading at $1.50 as of 2:24 p.m. in Singapore. The dollar declined against all of the world's 16 biggest currencies in the past 12 months apart from the Korean won and South African rand.

``Because oil has an intrinsic value, it's not exactly sensible that it become cheaper in other currencies so you get an adjustment upward in the U.S. dollar value of oil,'' said David Moore, commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia Ltd. in Sydney. ``The general strength of commodity prices would instantly improve sentiment toward the oil price.''

Brent, Funds

Brent crude for April settlement climbed as much as 53 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $100 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange, the highest since trading began in 1988. It was at $99.67 at 2:34 p.m. in Singapore, Yesterday, the contract gained $1.78 to $99.47 a barrel, a record close.

Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased net-long positions, or bets on higher oil prices, in the week ended Feb. 19, according to a Commodity Futures Trading Commission report.

Investors have pushed prices higher in the past six years as they put money into energy because returns outpaced those of other markets.

``Crude oil is just chasing the other commodities,'' said Tetsu Emori, fund manager at Astmax Ltd. in Tokyo. ``The fundamentals haven't changed so there is no reason to buy except it's being pushed up by fresh money inflows.''

OPEC To Meet

OPEC crude-oil supply will fall 200,000 barrels a day, or 0.6 percent, to 32.45 million barrels a day this month, according to preliminary estimates from PetroLogistics Ltd. The group supplied 32.65 million barrels a day in January, data from the Geneva-based tanker-tracking service showed.

Ministers from the 13 members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries are scheduled to meet in Vienna on March 5 to discuss oil quotas. OPEC produces more than 40 percent of the world's crude oil.

Chakib Khelil, Algerian oil minister and the OPEC president, said on Feb. 24 that the group might cut output at the meeting because of an expected decline in demand in the second quarter.

OPEC agreed in September to increase their output by 500,000 barrels a day starting Nov. 1.

``Bear in mind that when they increased production by a half a million barrels one reason was to make sure the Northern Hemisphere winter was adequately supplied,'' said Commonwealth Bank's Moore. ``Now that we're past the winter, the rationale for that increase is unwound effectively.''

To contact the reporters on this story: Christian Schmollinger in Singapore at christian.s@bloomberg.net ; Trisha Huang in Singapore at thuang14@bloomberg.net .
Last Updated: February 27, 2008 01:38 EST

via : http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=axtuCRqlW4P4&refer=home

Offline zuoom

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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News
« Reply #28 on: February 28, 2008, 09:17:16 AM »
Quote
SG is also top 3 bunkering Hubs--SG,Rotterdam and Fujarah, located on the east coast of the UAE.
http://www.worldbunkering.com/archive/november1999/pages/page42.htm
Read STimes today 28.02.2008 page H16 and others.
1.Why ship owners buy oil for their ships here?Value for $$$.Good quality---except the cases of selling contaminated oil and corruptions of oil surveyors!!It was a shame to SG reputation.
2.Today is the opening of Helios Terminal of Chemoil.Yes.the boss dead in heli crash recently.
Read the STimes advertiments then u know SG is still growing and can,and will attracting good and huge investment.
www.chemoil.com/
Lets looking forward to more oil related projects start thier machine here.Dunt foreget the underground oil caverns in Jurong Island underc onstruction.

    JTC begins construction of Jurong Rock Cavern at Jurong Island

    Singapore, 8 February 2007: Tunnelling work has begun at the construction site of Singapore’s first underground rock cavern for hydrocarbon storage – the Jurong Rock Cavern (JRC). JTC Corporation (JTC), which has been appointed by the Singapore Government to undertake the project, held a groundbreaking ceremony this morning to mark the commencement of this milestone project.  The event was graced by Mr Lim Hng Kiang, Minister for Trade and Industry.

    2          Located at Banyan LogisPark on Jurong Island, the multi-million dollar JRC project will be built at subterranean depths beneath the seabed of Banyan Basin.  Phase 1 of the JRC, with a storage capacity of approximately 1.47 million cubic metres, will be used to store liquid hydrocarbons such as crude oil, condensate, naphtha and gasoil.  JTC has engaged consultants to provide expert advice on the design and construction of the underground cavern.  JTC will also be inviting interested parties to submit proposals for operation of the facility.

    3          Storage of petrochemical products beneath the seabed through the JRC will further enhance safety and security on Jurong Island.  In addition, the underground storage facility will free up land for higher value manufacturing operations.  The size and storage capacity of the JRC translates to a saving of approximately 60 hectares of surface land space.....

     

     

    http://www.jtc.gov.sg/newsroom/pressreleases/pages/20070208(pr).aspx

    Jurong Rock Cavern (JRC)

    The Jurong Rock Cavern (JRC) is an underground oil storage complex to be built at subterranean depths beneath the seabed of Banyan Basin in Jurong Island. The underground caverns have a potential storage capacity of close to 3 million cubic metres and can be used to store liquid hydrocarbons like crude oil, condensates and diesel oil.

    Phase 1 of the JRC will have a storage capacity of about 1.5 million cubic metres. Development works on the cavern will begin in end 2006 and the first cavern is expected to be ready for use in 2011. This will be home to the first underground oil cavern for hydrocarbon storage in Singapore and will boost her position as an oil storage and chemicals hub.
    http://www.jtc.gov.sg/portfolio/jurongisland/newdev/jrc/pages/index.aspx

via : http://www.sgforums.com/forums/10/topics/309139

Offline zuoom

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Re: [Focus] Crude Oil Market n News - Oil prices hold above 101 dollars
« Reply #29 on: March 03, 2008, 07:41:37 AM »
Quote
SINGAPORE, March 3, 2008 (AFP) - Oil prices stayed above 101 dollars per barrel in Asian trading Monday ahead of an OPEC meeting in which the cartel is expected to maintain current output levels, dealers said.

In late morning trading, New York's main contract, light sweet crude for April delivery, held steady at 101.84 dollars, equalling Friday's close in New York.

London's Brent North Sea crude for April delivery gained seven cents to 101.17.

Prices are trading in a narrow range because "there has been no major news to affect prices," said Jason Feer, vice-president of energy market analysts Argus Media Ltd in Singapore.

Aside from Wednesday's OPEC meeting, "the market is waiting for something to happen right now that is worth paying attention to," said Feer.

The 13 members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), who together pump 40 percent of the world's oil, are due to meet Wednesday in Vienna to decide on current daily output level, which is currently set at 29.67 million barrels per day.

"Either we hold (output) steady or we cut in order to restore market balance and stability," OPEC President Chakib Khelil, who is also Algeria's energy minister, said in a statement.

OPEC members Iran and Venezuela are calling on the cartel to cut production, arguing that prices are likely to slide when demand for crude drops during the second quarter.

While expected to maintain production output, Feer said that OPEC members will be taking a "hard look" at prices and softening demand from the US and China.

The March-June period coincides with warmer temperatures in the energy-hungry northern hemisphere, thus reducing demand for heating fuel.

Oil prices struck a record-high 100 dollars at the start of January, and on Friday the price of New York crude hit a fresh peak of 103.05 dollars per barrel.

Link:- http://sg.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080303/tap-commodities-energy-oil-asia-price-06f3cb7.html